Swing Trade Idea – December 11, 2023
Date: Dec 11, 2023
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing
** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
**govt – government
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Neutral equity global set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Industrial Metals
· Yields: 30Y Bond -.16% Currencies: USA +.04%
· News: USA: 3Y auction 1130; 10y auction 13ET JPN: Machine Tool Orders -13.6% y-y
·
Stocks: M +15%, ARM +31%, AMD
+.8%, SNAP +4.5%, CI +13.5%, RIOT -4.7%
Overview: USA SPY 459.2 with support at 458, 455, and 450, and resistance
at 460 and 462, SPY expected move +/- 1.8. QQQ 391.4 with resistance at
394 and 395, and support at 390, expected move 2.2. USA indices are
flattish with IWM leading and Nasdaq lagging. MAG7 are mixed with
weakness in MSFT, AMZN, GOOGL, META, and TSLA, NVDA leading which may weigh on
Nasdaq. Macro setup is negative with yields and US$ higher. Bond
auction today 11:30, 13:00 ET may move yields. May be a choppy day, watch
the daily expected move levels. Today’s daily expected move levels: SPY
(461.98-458.4), QQQ (394.3-390.0), IWM (187.9-185.7), and
SPX(4622.2-4586.6).
Stocks to watch NVDA, TSLA, SNAP, PINS, ARM, NKE, GOOGL, SE, COIN
Spec Names RIOT
Pre-800ET
Earnings
Indices SOXX, SMH, XLV, KRE, JETS, /btc, LIT, EWZ, ARKK, faangmt, TLT, GLD
S&P500 CI, PARA, MU, NKE, HPQ, HUM, WRK, AMD, INTC, ALB, ENPH, EQT, GOOGL, MSFT, MRO, SEDG
IWM SNDX,
SAVA, ABR, SAVE, CLSK, MARA, RIOT, MSTR, LTHM, SMCI, CNX, IONQ
Movers M, CI, HOLI, SNDX, SNAP, JWN, PARA, KSS, PINS, DASH, XPEV, MDB,
PLTR, MU, SE, CLSK, MARA, RIOT, RNG, AU, JD, MSTR, COIN, AR, ALB
Trade Idea: TSLA
TSLA is in a daily Bollinger band squeeze which can lead to large moves in either direction. Straddle approach today. Long > 245 with target 250 and cautious fade < 240 with target 235. Option market is leaning long with calls building at 250, 255 and 260.