Swing Trade Idea – December 18, 2023
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing
** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
**govt – government
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Neutral equity global set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, AGGS. Industrial Metals
· Yields: 30Y Bond +1% Currencies: USA -.45%
· News: EUR: German ifo biz climate 86.4 vs 87.6 ; Middle East: Attacks in Red Sea reducing shipping and raising prices
·
Stocks: X+28% Acquired
by Nippon. Lifting steel stocks STLD, MT, CLF, ILMN +4.8%,
divesting Grail NIO +8.5%, Investment SHOP -1.6%, downgrade SNAP +2.8%, NOVA +3.4%,
CSIQ +1%, upgrade Bitcoin names lower MSTR -2.5%, MARA -4%; Shipping
stocks FRO +8%, DHT +4%, STNG +3.3%, INSW +2.4%
Overview: USA SPY 470.8 support 470 467 465 and
resistance 471.5 475 SPY expected move +/- 2.1 QQQ
404.7 with resistance 405 408 410 and support 400 QQQ
expected move 2.6. Global equities mixed, yields lower and US$ lower is mild
positive. USA Indices are mildly led by small caps. Oil and shippers are
leading sector with the Red Sea issue. X acquisition is lifting steel stocks
and iron ore miners. Post Opex tends to have increased volatility so take
care.Today daily expected move levels: SPY (471.5-467.2) QQQ (408-402.7),
IWM (199.5-194.6) SPX(4740.6-4697.8).
Stocks to watch: X, CLF, STLD, FRO, DHT, ADBE, AMZN, ARKK,
Spec Names: NOVA
Pre-800ET
Earnings
Indices: XME, USO, XOP, EWZ, IWM, XLE, GLD, UUP, DBC, /btc, KWEB, XLU, GDX, XLP, TAN, KRE, ARKK,
S&P500: ILMN, STLD, NUE, ADBE, MRO, CTRA, SLB, DVN, OXY, CF, WRK, HAL, VFC, SEDG
IWM: PGTI, FRO,
DHT, INSW, NOVA, STNG, NE, CPE, SAVA, LNTH, PNT, CLSK, RIOT, MARA, MSTR
Movers: X, EDU, PGTI, CLF, FRO, ILMN, CAMT, DHT, MT, EQNR, STLD, NUE, NOVA,
STNG, SNAP, BP, ADBE, GPCR, LNTH, PNT, VFC, SEDG, COIN, ROKU, UPST
Trade Idea: AMZN
AMZN is one of the leading large cap stocks. Premarket high 151 can be used for a momentum long or pullback >=150. Below 150 potential fade. Expected daily move 152.4-147.5