Swing Trade Idea – December 22, 2023
Date: Dec 22, 2023
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing
** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
**govt – government
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
· Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Slight Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Neutral equity global set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Industrial Metals
· Yields: 30Y Bond +.55% Currencies: USA -.28%
· News: CDN: GDP 830ET UK: GDP -.1% m/m USA: Core PCE, Durable goods 830ET; UofM Consumer Sentim 10ET
·
Stocks: NKE -11% Weak
forecast. Impact CROX, ONON, LULU, FL.
Overview: USA SPY 472.7 with support at 470 and 465, and resistance at
475, SPY expected move +/- 2.9. QQQ 407.7 with resistance at 410 and
support at 405, QQQ expected move 3.1. USA indices dipped post close and
are currently rising with European open to flattish. Macro set-up is
bullish with yields & US$ lower but equities are not reflecting. PCE
and consumer sentiment may be market moving so take care. NKE forecast
will weigh on footwear and other consumer discretionary. MAG7 are mixed
with TSLA leading. Semis continue to be bid with ARM and AMD bid. China
names are hit hard with China government regulating spending on gaming
affecting NTES and TCEHY but the entire sector is lower. Gold and miners
are making a large move NEM AGI. The Red Sea is boosting shippers ZIM.
Low volume likely today so market susceptible to large late in the day moves
due to 0DTE option manipulation so take care. Today’s daily expected move
levels: SPY (475.6-469.8), QQQ (410.9-404.7), IWM (202.2-197), and SPX(4775.6-4717.9).
Stocks to watch TSLA, NEM, AGI, ZIM, FRO, NKE, NTES
Spec Names HIVE, MARA, CLSK
Pre-800ET
Earnings NKE
Indices GDX, XBI, GLD, USO, EWZ, TLT, XLE, XME, euro, KWEB, XRT, EEM, /btc, XLY, JETS, UUP
S&P500 ANSS, NEM, NKE, LULU, TTWO, EA, VFC
IWM MARA,
FRO, RIOT, FL, CROX
Movers ANSS, MARA, LITE, MP, ZIM, FRO, AGI, GOLD, GFI, NEM, TRMD, CLSK,
AA, HUT, NTES, TCEHY, NKE, TAL, BILI, FL, EDU, ONON, DKS, U, RBLX, CROX
Trade Idea: NKE
NKE has moved > expected move (+/-7.8). Premarket low 106.7 can be used for momentum short. Potential bounce > 110 with expectation that bounces can be used for short entries. Bounce > 115 may indicate that bounce will not fail.