Swing Trade Idea – January 08, 2024
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing
** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
**govt – government
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Slight negative equity global set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Industrial Metals
· Yields: 30Y Bond -.05% Currencies: USA -.05%
·
News: Europe: German factory orders 0.3% m/m vs 1.1%; Retail
sales -0.3% m/m
Stocks: BA -7% groundings after ALK incident; CROX +7.6% lifted 4Q
revenue guidance AMD +1.5% Upgrade
Overview: USA SPY 468 support 465 and resistance 470
471. SPY expected move +/- 2.3 QQQ 397.4 with
resistance 400 401 and support 395 ; expected move 2.7.
USA indices are rising premarket to flat c.f. Friday led by QQQ. Macro setup is
mixed with yields higher, US$ higher but a very sharp drop in commodities which
is bullish from an inflation aspect. Negative gamma setup as long as SPX
< 4700 hence additional downside risk potential until level can be
reclaimed. Breaches of daily expected move can lead to outsized moves. Today
daily expected move levels: SPY (470.2-465.6) QQQ (399.5-394), IWM
(195.2-191.3) SPX(4720.3-4674.2).
Stocks to watch: NVDA, AMZN, MSFT, AMD, BA, SPR, SLV,
Spec Names: CROX, MARA, FSLY, DASH
Pre-800ET
Earnings
Indices: /btc, MSOS, SOXX, ARKF, SMH, faangmt, USO, KWEB, GDX, GLD, DBC, GLD, XOP, EWZ, XLE, XBI, EEM, JETS, KRE,
S&P500: ENPH, MRNA, AAL, BA, LUV, UAL, LULU, MRO
IWM: AXNX,
CROX, MARA, FSLY, RIOT, MSTR, CYTK, STAA, ARRY, GOGL
Movers: AXNX, CROX, MARA, FSLY, DASH, AEO, HUT, RIOT, DELL, ENPH, COIN,
MSTR, CRWD, AFRM, MRNA, AMD, SPR, CYTK, BA, JD, ALK, XPEV, STAA,
ZI, NTES, EQNR, BILI, TCOM
Trade Idea: AMZN
AMZN is resting on the 50sma which forms a bull bear level. Consider long > 146 and fade < 145. Expected daily move +/- 2.3.