Swing Trade Idea – January 23, 2024
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing
** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
** ‘Y’ – year
**govt – government
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Mild Negative equity global set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Industrial Metals
· Yields: 30Y Bond -.5% Currencies: USA +.06%
·
News: USA: Richmond Fed mfg index China: Equity market
stimulation Japan: CPI 2.6% vs 2.7% y/y BOJ unchanged
Stocks: RTX +4%, PG +.8%, HAL +2%, SYF +.6%, ERIC +.7%, UAL +6%, VZ +4%, MMM -7.5%,
JNJ -.18%, LOGI -7%, GE -3.3%, DHI, EPS
·
Overview: USA SPY 484 with support at 483, 480, and resistance at 485; SPY
expected move +/- 2.2. QQQ 422.6 with resistance at 425 and support at
420; QQQ expected move 3. USA large cap indices are flat with small caps
outperforming similar to Monday. Macro factors are negative with long yields
and US$ higher and G7 indices lower. China stocks are up on stimulus which is
providing a boost to commodities. Israel chatter on cease fire is weighing on
oil and shippers; however requires Hamas to agree. Strong move Monday in
laggards like small caps is continuing today and is either the start of a
rotation or the end of the December surge. IWM is at the top of the weekly
expected move so potential for breakout or rejection. USA indices are in
the window of less support where options positioning provides less support and
resistance so larger moves are possible. Minimal economic data today so market
is in the hand of 0DTE options. Today’s daily expected move levels: SPY
(485.7-481.2), QQQ (424.7-418.7), IWM (199.4-193.6), and
SPX(4872.7-4828.1).
Stocks to watch RTX, NFLX, UAL, ENPH, BABA, DHI, MMM, COIN
Spec Names TKO
Pre-800ET
Earnings PG, HAL, RTX, SYF, ERIC, UAL, VZ, MMM, JNJ, GE,
DHI
Indices KWEB, TAN, JETS, ICLN, IWM, EWZ, GDX, ARKK, GLD, /BTC, VXX, ITB, TLT, USO, EFA, euro
S&P500 UAL, VZ,
RTX, ENPH, AAL, LUV, WDC, DAL, NFLX, HAL, MMM, DHI, VLTO, IVZ, GE, CLT, LEN,
VTR, PM
Movers TKO, UAL, NOVA, EDR, NTES, VZ, RTX, LI, ENPH, WOLF, JD, AA, TAL,
AU, RUN, GFI, FUTU, AAL, WDC, BABA, DWAC, MMM, DHI, COIN, GE, MARA, MSTR,
FRO, BE, RIOT, GOGL
Trade Idea: IWM
IWM is either benefiting from a rotation from MAG7 or signaling the end of the Nov1 rally as shorts close/ Leading premarket with premarket high 198.4 and upside targets 199.4 and 200. A move > 200 brings 205 as a target. Pullback > 197.5 could be used to buy the dip and failure could be a signal for a short.