Swing Trade Idea – February 02, 2024
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing
** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
** ‘Y’ – year
**govt – government
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Slight positive equity global set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Industrial Metals
· Yields: 30Y Bond -.1% Currencies: USA -.06%
·
News: USA: Payrolls 830ET; Consumer sentiment 10ET
Stocks: META +17%, AMZN +7%, DECK +9.7%, REGN +1%, BMY +2%, CI +3.5%,
AAPL
-3%, CHTR -7.7%, eps
Overview: USA SPY 492.4 support 490 485 and resistance
492.8 493.5 495. SPY expected move +/- 3.6 QQQ 426.6 with
resistance 426 430 and support 425 418; expected move 4.1.
USA large cap indices are at the top of the daily expected move after META and
AMZN made outsized moves whose exuberance is lifting other tech stocks to
compensate for a decline in AAPL. Non-farm payrolls premarket will be
market moving as will consumer sentiment at 10ET. Clear divergence
pre-market between large cap tech and small caps suggesting not a broadbased
rally. Should S&P500 not squeeze above the weekly expected move, the large
MAG7 moves may suck the strength from the rest of the index. AAPL will be
important today due to its market cap. Today’s daily expected move levels: SPY
(492.8-485.6), QQQ (426-417.8), IWM (198.3-192.6),
SPX(4941.9-4870.5).
Stocks to watch: META, AMZN, CI, SHOP, DDOG, AAPL, TSLA, CHTR Spec Names SMCI, DWAC
Pre-800ET
Earnings: META, AMZN, DECK, COUR, REGN,
BMY, CI, XOM, CVX, AAPL, TEAM, COLM, CHTR, SKX
Indices: FDN, XLY, ARKK, QQQ, MSOS, SMH, ARKF, SOXX, EEM, /BTC, VXX, KWEB, TLT, USO
S&P500:
META, AMZN, CLX, CI, AMD, BMY, NVDA, NSFT, PYPL, CHTR, AAPL,
MCHP, CMCSA, INTC
Movers: META, AMZN, CLX, SNAP, SHOP, SNOW,
PINS, DDOG, TTD, CI, CFLT, TAL, VRT, SMCI, MP, DWAC, SKX, CHTR,
TEAM, AAPL, MCHP, CMCSA, PDD, INTC, GFI, ZIM, MSTR,
Trade Idea: AAPL
AAPL has fallen to a key support level at 180. Break below can lead to further downside. Look for a bounce at open which is a potential fade if < 182.5