Swing Trade Idea – February 06, 2024
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing
** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
** ‘Y’ – year
**govt – government
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Neutral equity global set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Industrial Metals
· Yields: 30Y Bond +.05% Currencies: USA +.02%
· News: USA:
Mester FOMC 12ET EUR: Retail sales -1.1% m/m China:
More stimulus
Stocks: TM+3.5% LLY+3.5% VRTX+1.4% BP+5.5% SPOT +7.8% PLTR +17% DD +1.8%
GEHC +3.3% NXPI +3% FN-13% FMC -13% SYM -16.6% eps TSLA -2.3% UBS -4.4%
Overview: USA SPY 493 displays support at 491.4 and 490 with resistance of
495 and 497.5. I expect the SPY to move +/- 2.2 QQQ 429 with resistance of 430
and 433 with support of 428 and 425; I expected it to move 4.5. USA indices
pulled back overnight and are currently bouncing premarket. MAG7 mixed with
NVDA and META are leading with TSLA lagging. NVDA is in a gamma squeeze with
call buyers driving the price higher. Feeding frenzy in AI related names like
SMCI. The China stimulus chatter is lifting China names and commodities and the
jury is out as to whether it can continue for more than a day. I will be
payung attention to the daily expected moves. Today’s daily expected move
levels in my opinion are: SPY (497.5-491.4) QQQ (432.6-425.5), IWM
(196.7-192.1) SPX(4989.8-4927).
Stocks to watch NVDA META LLY GEHC TSLA AMZN
FMC Spec Names SMCI SPOT PLTR
Pre-800ET
Earnings TM_ LLY VRTX BP SPOT PLTR DD
FN FMC SYM UBS
Indices KWEB EEM LIT /btc USO GDX XLV EWZ XLE GLD VXX XLY XBI IWM XLF JETS
S&P500 LLY GEHC
NXPI DD CNC UPS LIN VRTX CSCO J AMGN FMC TSLA FE BALL AMD RTX CMI
Movers PLTR COHR LI AGCO SPOT PINC FUTU BP JD YY MNSO NTES LLY GEHC
VRNS SYM FMC CCK AKRO RMBS VKTX UBS AMKR HESM DOCU
Trade Idea: PLTR
Follow-up from Monday. PLTR premarket 20.27. Large call positions above 20 which can lead to a gamma squeeze. Nov 2023 high 21.85 is a potential target. Pullbacks > 19 can be potential dip buys.