Swing Trade Idea – February 07, 2024
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing
** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
** ‘Y’ – year
**govt – government
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Positive equity global set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Industrial Metals
· Yields: 30Y Bond -.44% Currencies: USA -.11%
·
News: USA:FOMC speakers 11, 1230,1400 ET EUR:
German Ind Prod -1.6% m/m
Stocks: FTNT +9%, RBLX +14%, ENPH +15.6%, YUMC +13.8%, ELF +8.6%, F +6.2%,
TM_1%, CRUS +8%, CVS +1.7%, BG +2.5%, BABA -1.7%, AMGN -2.2%, UBER
-1.8%, GILD -2.5%, SNAP -30%, VFC -10.6% eps
Overview: USA SPY 495.3 support 495 493 and resistance 496.3
500. SPY expected move +/- 2.3 QQQ 429.5 with resistance 430
433 and support 427 425; expected move 3.2. USA indices pulled back
overnight and currently hard bounce premarket. Index surge in NY premarket
catalyst is unknown however indication of potentially a rally today or pop and
drop. Yields higher is not bullish nor is higher oil prices; however a lower
US$ is positive. MAG7 are higher led by TSLA with NVDA lagging. While SPY >
495 remain bullish and watch for reaction at the top of the daily expected move.
Pay attention to the daily expected moves. Earnings names watch for
continuation or reversion. FOMC speakers are only risk with Barkin 1230 most
prominent. Today’s daily expected move levels: SPY (496.3-491.7)
QQQ (430.8-424.4), IWM (195.6-191.7) SPX(4977-4931.5).
Stocks to watch: TSLA, ENPH, FTNT, BABA, VFC, SNAP,
Spec Names RBLX, SNAP
Pre-800ET
Earnings: TM, FTNT, CRUS, CVS, BABA,
AMGN, UBER, GILD, SNAP, RBLX
Indices: TAN, ICLN, KRE, USO, XLK, QQQ, HACK, faangmt, XLY, KWEB, MSOS, VXX, TLT, GDX, /btc, XBI, ARKK, UUP
S&P500:
ENPH, YUMC, SONO, FTNT, SEDG, ELF, F, MOR, WRK, RUN, TOST, SYM,
FSLR, BUD, TGT, CVS, VFC, CTSH, UBER, AMGN, YUM, GILD, APTV, EW
Movers: ENPH, RBLX, YUMC, AZEK, SONO, SEDG, FTNT, ELF, F, MOR, GPRE, TENB, SNAP, TGI,
VFC, CTSH, EQNR, BILI, GGAL, JD, BABA, PINS, PLTR, LI, TAL, TCOM, EDU
Trade Idea: ENPH
ENPH has moved > expected move post earnings. Premarket high 118.9 can be used for a momentum long or pullback > 115. High call OI at 120 can act as resistance or gamma squeeze above.