Swing Trade Idea – February 12, 2024
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing
** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
** ‘Y’ – year
**govt – government
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Global
Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Neutral equity global
set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Industrial Metals
· Yields: 30Y Bond +.26% Currencies: USA +.06%
·
News: USA: FOMC Barkin Bowman UK: Bailey 13ET
Stocks: MNDY -10%, TRMB -5.8% eps
Overview: USA SPY 501.2 support 500 498 and resistance 504
505. SPY expected move +/- 2.6 QQQ 437.3 with resistance 440
and support 435 433; expected move +/-3.3 USA indices are flattish
premarket with leadership yet again by small caps and speculative tech (IPO,
ARKK). Macro factors are supportive with long yields lower, US$ flattish and
oil lower. Pre-earnings runners to watch today: ANET HOOD, SHOP, CDNS. AI
basket including NVDA AMD SMCI is still running. Incessant call buying in AI
and MAG7 last week and look to see if it continues. Premarket SPY 495 remains
the key level. Today’s daily expected move levels: SPY
(503.8-498.6), QQQ (440.4-433.8), IWM (201.4-197.2),
SPX(5052.8-5000.4).
Stocks to watch: NVDA, AMD, SHOP, ARKK, IWM, EXPE, AFRM,
Spec Names: ANET, SMCI, VKTX, AI, RIVN
Pre-800ET
Earnings: MNDY, TRMB
Indices: MSOS, /btc, TAN, IWM, TLT, SMH, GDX, ARKK, USO, VXX,
GLD, JETS
S&P500:
ANET, ENPH, CDNS, FANG, TRMB, C
Movers: ANET, TEVA, KD, FRO, HOOD, AI,
PATH, SMCI, SHOP, VRT, VKTX, CLSK, ENPH, CDNS, MNDY, MANU,
RIVN, TRMB, AZN, ASML, U, MARA, PLTR, BSM
Trade Idea: SHOP
SHOP reports earnings Feb13 BMO and potential run into earnings name. Premarket high 92.99 can be used for momentum long or pullback >=90. High call OI at 95 is potential resistance and above 95 target is 100.