Swing Trade Idea – February 26, 2024
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing
** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
** ‘Y’ – year
**govt – government
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong, Asia – Neutral equity global set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Industrial Metals
· Yields: 30Y Bond +.34% Currencies: USA -.18%
·
News: USA: New home sales 10ET
Stocks: MDGL-7%, DPZ+5%, FRPT +12%, LI+8%, PPC+6%, eps
Overview: USA SPY 507.8 support 505 and resistance 510.
SPY expected move +/- 2.1. QQQ 437 with resistance 440 and
support 437 435 434 ; expected move +/-2.7. USA indices are muted with
large cap flat and small caps lower. Macro factors are supportive with yields
land US$ lower. Commodities are pulling back with a drop in Chinese futures. No
major economic data today hence 0DTE in control with SPX call wall at 5100 and
put wall at 5000 which can serve as range limits with breach leading to
outsized moves. MAG7 are mixed premarket with NVDA continuing the rampage and
AMZN, TSLA with strength but GOOGL and AAPL lagging. Some bid to stocks
reporting this week like CRM and DELL Breaches of daily expected moves
can lead to larger moves. Today’s daily expected move levels: SPY (510-505.8),
QQQ (439.5-434), IWM (201.6-198.2), SPX(5109.7-5068).
Stocks to watch NVDA, AMD, AMZN, DPZ, CRM, PANW, DELL, GOOGL,
AAPL, Spec Names RXRX, LI, PDD
Pre-800ET
Earnings
Indices SMH, euro, TLT, GDX, USO, IWM, EEM, XLE, XLB
S&P500 DPZ, MU,
BRK/B, PANW, CRM, MRNA, KEY, NEM, FCX, IP
Movers RCM, FRPT, LI, HCP, FLNC, TEVA, MU, DPZ, ACMR, RIVN, RXRX, BRK/B,
AU, GPS, CRM, PANW, CLSK, DELL, GFI, AA, PDD, RIO, VALE, BHP, MRNA,
ZIM, SHEL, BEKE, SONY, MT, SQ, FSLY
Trade Idea: AMZN
AMZN is trading today as a member of the DJIA which potentially is a reason for strength premarket. AMZN is call heavy with potential long > 175 or pullback > 170. Out of the money calls at 180, 185 and 190 are potential targets. All time high 188.95.