Swing Trade Idea – March 7, 2024
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing
** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
** ‘Y’ – year
**govt – government
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Slight Positive global set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Industrial Metals
· Yields: 30Y Bond 0% Currencies: USA$ -.18%
·
News: USA: UE claims 8:30 ET; Powell 10:00 ET; Mester 11:30 ET;
EUR: ECB policy statement
Stocks: BURL+5%, RTD+16%, KR+5%, VSCO -29%, CIEN-10%, BILI -3%, eps
Overview: USA SPY 511.2 with support at 510, 507, and 505, and resistance
at 515; SPY expected move +/- 2.5. QQQ 440.8 with resistance at 443.6 and
445, and support at 440 and 434; QQQ expected move +/-4.77. USA indices are
positive led by AI (Semis) and weight loss drugs. Speculation in the Yen is
weighing on US$ and providing a lift to metals and soft commodities. Mild risk
on premarket with UE claims and Powell speaking may affect the market. MAG7 are
positive ex-TSLA which is continuing to be sold. Today’s daily expected
move levels: SPY (512.3-507.2), QQQ (443.6-434), IWM (208.3-202.2), and SPX
(5130-5079). SPX Call wall (resistance) shifted to 5200 and Put Wall
(support) to 5040.
Stocks to watch NVDA, AVGO, NVO, FCX, MU, CIEN
Spec Names VKTX
Pre-800ET
Earnings CIEN, KR, BURL, BJ, BILI, CNSW, INFN, DSGX, YPF
Indices COPX, Yen, XLK, XME, ARKF, GLD, EFA, ARKK, TLT, FXI, KWEB,
IBIT, XBI
S&P500 MU, INTC,
PYPL, NVDA, AVGO, FCX, ORCL, TSLA
Movers RTO, CC, AGR, DWAC, NVO, ASX, MU, BURL, MU, PLTR, RIVN, TSM, GSK,
TRMD, ARM, INTC, VSCO, CIEN, VKTX, BILI, CRGY, LI, TSLA, JD, FL, CPNG, RIO
Trade Idea: FCX
Metals are bouncing along with copper. FCX is a copper gold producer and a popular trading vehicle. Extended premarket but can look for a dip > 38.5 or momentum trade over premarket high. Note that lower US$ is lifting FCX and non-farm payrolls Fri will move the US$.