Swing Trade Idea – June 3, 2024
Laurie’s Abbreviation Index:
** ‘div’ – dividend
** ‘m/m’ – month over month
** ‘y/y’ – year over year
** ‘Inven’ – inventories
** ‘mfg’ – manufacturing
** +/- – plus or minus, positive or negative
** Underlined text – higher volume premarket
** ‘d’ – day
** ‘Y’ – year
**govt – government
Color Key: Positive – Neutral – Negative
Global Markets: USA, Europe, Japan, China, Hong Kong Asia – Positive global set-up
· Commodities: Gold, Silver, Oil, natgas, AGGS, Industrial Metals
· Yields: 30Y Bond +.67% Currencies: USA$ -.05% Vix: -1.3%
·
News: USA: ISM mfg PMI 10:00 ET EUR: MFG PMI mixed China:
Caixin mfg better than expected JPY: mfg PMI slightly positive
Stocks: GME+74%, RDDT+5%, AMC+27%, HelloKitty post is launching
meme stocks again MSTR+3%, HOOD+3%, COIN+2.4% Bitcoin higher lifting the
related names NVDA+3.5%, AMD+1.9%, QCOM+1.9%, MU+1.8%, AVGO+1.5% AI related
semis are bid. NVDA and AMD announced AI chips at Taiwan Semi Conference SPOT+5.6% Price
Increase
Overview: USA SPY 528.4 with support at 527 and 525, and resistance at
530; SPY expected move +/- 2.6. QQQ 453.8 with resistance at 454 and 455, and
support at 452, 450, and 447.4; QQQ expected move +/- 3.3. USA indices
are following through following Friday’s late day pop. Macro is positive with
yields and US$. Pre-market setup is risk-on with small caps leading and meme
stocks (High short interest). NVDA AMD and AI related semis are bid on news
from the Taiwan Semi conference. Bitcoin is higher and lifting the bitcoin
related names which move on meme euphoria. Indices were oversold prior to the
squeeze Friday and now back to value. SPY 530 is the top of the daily expected
move and a level to watch for breakout or fade. Market is very sensitive to
interest rates hence the 10:00 ET ISM mfg PMI is important with weak being good
for markets. Today’s daily expected move levels: SPY (530-524.8), QQQ
(454-447.4), IWM (207.3-204.3), and SPX (5303.5-5251).
Stocks to watch NVDA, AMD, QCOM, GSK, CAVA
Spec Names GME
Pre-800ET
Moved > Expected Move Can Run NVDA, SPOT
Indices UNG, IBIT, XRT, FXI, ARKK, IWM, XBI, QQQ, XLK, MSOS, USO
S&P500 ADSK, PARA, NVDA, ENPH, BBY, SMCI, MU, AMD,
QCOM, AVGO, FSLR, VST, WM
Movers GME, SRCL, NTLA, GPCR, RDDT, LI, UPST, BILI, MSTR, DNUT, HOOD, RUN,
COIN, MARA, ARM, CLS, HIMS, GSK, ZIM, CAVA, NVO, GFI, BHP, FRO
Trade Idea: TSLA
China EV sales were positive and meme stocks are in play. TSLA can usually do well in a meme stock environment. Straddle approach, long > 177.5 with targets 180 and 185. Below 177.5 fade towards 175 and 170. NIO and LI are other EV companies to watch today with NIO reporting this week.